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2021 Housing Forecast Update

Sammamish Mortgage
Published:
January 5, 2021
Last updated:
April 14, 2021

The year 2021 has been an interesting one to say the least. And while most industries have suffered throughout the health crisis, the real estate industry has been very active throughout the year, all across the country. Buyers may have stalled early on when the pandemic first hit, but things quickly picked up shortly after.

As such, home prices have increased at a rapid pace throughout 2021, and mortgage rates have remained at historic levels. Buyer demand and ultra-low mortgage rates combined to create a very competitive real estate market.

In This Article

What will happen in 2021? Will the same pace keep up in the new year? According to experts, the answer is yes.

Housing Forecast Update

Housing Forecast 2021

Experts forecast an optimistic year for the housing market. Over the past 12 months, home prices across the US increased by 7.5%. And in 2021, they’re expected to increase at an even faster pace of 10.3%, according to real estate research firm Zillow.

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the MBA, and NAR also have their own forecasts for home prices in 2021:

  • Fannie Mae forecast: +2.21%
  • Freddie Mac forecast: +2.6%
  • MBA forecast: +2.0%
  • NAR forecast: +6.0%

As you can see, there is a general consensus that suggests that home prices will indeed rise over the next year.

Similar trends are being forecasted for the Pacific Northwest. In Washington State, home prices are expected to rise by 11.3% over the next year, while Colorado home prices are expected to increase by 10.2% over the same time period. And in Idaho and Oregon, home prices are anticipated to increase by 11.7% and 10.4% over the next 12 months, respectively.

Mortgage Interest Rates

While home prices may be on the rise, buyers can still take advantage of very low mortgage interest rates to make their home loans more affordable. Experts agree that interest rates are projected to remain at or near 3% in 2021, fueling stronger buyer activity.

This is a similar story to what we’ve seen throughout 2020, with mortgage interest rates remaining under 4.% since January, then remaining under 3.0% since August. Over the past 12 months, rates have hit record lows multiple times.

2021 Projected Mortgage Interest Rates

The following mortgage interest rate projections for 2021 have been released by the following entities:

  • Fannie Mae: 2.8%
  • Freddie Mac: 3.0%
  • MBA: 3.0% – 3.3%
  • NAR: 2.9% – 3.2%

From these forecasts, it’s safe to say that mortgage interest rates will continue to remain very low throughout 2021.

Rates By Decade

To give you a perspective on what mortgage interest rates have been doing over the past few decades, take a look at the following:

  • Today: 2.67%
  • 2010s: 4.09%
  • 2000s: 6.29%
  • 1990s: 8.12%
  • 1980s: 12.7%
  • 1970s: 8.86%

Clearly, the current mortgage rate is the lowest it’s been, giving buyers more incentive to capitalize on these low rates and get into the real estate market in 2021.

Home Sales

Home sales are forecasted to increase in 2021 while interest rates remain low. This data further suggests that buyers will be actively in search of a home in the new year, which will continue to fuel the real estate market across WA, OR, CO, and ID, as well as the rest of the country.

2021 Total Home Sale Forecasts

Fannie Mae:

  • 2020 forecast: 6.37 million
  • 2021 forecast: 6.41 million

Freddie Mac:

  • 2020 forecast: 6.2 million
  • 2021 forecast: 6.1 million

MBA:

  • 2020 forecast: 6.42 million
  • 2021 forecast: 7.17 million

NAR:

  • 2020 forecast: 6.34 million
  • 2021 forecast: 7.06 million

With the exception of Freddie Mac, all other entities anticipate 2021 to see even more home sales than 2020.

Could 2021 be the year that you make a move and buy a home in WA, OR, ID, or CO? If so, you’ll need a mortgage to help finance your purchase. And Sammamish Mortgage would love to help!

Today’s Mortgage Rates May, 17, Mon, 2021

Why Choose Sammamish Mortgage?

Sammamish Mortgage has been in the mortgage industry since 1992 and has assisted many buyers in the Pacific Northwest. If you are looking for mortgage financing in Washington State, Colorado, Idaho, or Oregon, we can help. We offer plenty of mortgage programs with flexible eligibility criteria.

Contact us if you have any mortgage-related questions or concerns. If you are ready to move forward, you can view rates, obtain a customized instant rate quote, or apply instantly directly from our website.

Get an Instant Mortgage Rate Quote Today

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