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Mortgage Rates This Week 12/30/2013

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week- December 30, 2013Last week the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index was improved for December at 82.5, after the November reading was adjusted from 82.5 to 75. Analysts noted that consumers were relieved when legislative gridlock ended.

Durable goods orders reached their highest level since May with November’s reading of + 3.5 percent. Without the volatile transportation sector, the reading for November was +1.2 percent. This could be a sign of economic recovery for manufacturing, as more orders are being placed. Economists expected an overall increase of 2.0 percent for overall durable goods orders.

The U.S. Commerce Department provided housing markets with good news with its New Home Sales report for November. 464,000 new homes were sold in November against expectations of 440,000 new homes sold.

This expectation was based on the original reading of 444,000 new homes sold in October, which has been revised to 474,000 new homes sold. The latest reading for October is the highest since July of 2008.

While rising mortgage rates slowed home purchases during the summer, analysts note that home buyers seem to be adjusting for higher mortgage rates by purchasing smaller homes in less costly areas.

Home Builder Confidence recently achieved its highest reading since 2005, a further indication of overall economic recovery and housing markets in particular.

After Wednesday’s holiday, the Weekly Jobless Claims report came in with a reading of 338,000 new jobless claims filed. This reading was lower than expectations of 345,000 new jobless claims and significantly lower than the previous week’s report of 380,000 new jobless claims.

This was the largest decrease in new jobless claims since the week of November 17, 2012. After seasonal volatility associated with the holidays, analysts expect new jobless claims to decrease at a slower rate in early 2014,

2014 shows promise of a steady economic improvements, and given the latest New Home Sales report, it’s possible that improving housing markets will continue leading the way.

What’s Ahead

This week will be holiday shortened with the bond market closed early on Tuesday and reopens on Thursday. Trading will be light with many people on vacation. Below are the economic reports scheduled for release.

DateTime (ET)Economic ReleaseActualMarket ExpectsPrior
30-Dec10:00Pending Home Sales1.50%-0.60%
31-Dec9:00Case-Shiller 20-city Index13.80%13.30%
31-Dec9:45Chicago PMI6063
31-Dec10:00Consumer Confidence77.170.4
2-Jan8:30Initial Claims333K338K
2-Jan8:30Continuing Claims2875K2923K
2-Jan10:00Construction Spending0.80%0.80%
2-Jan10:00ISM Index56.957.3
2-Jan10:30Natural Gas InventoriesNA177 bcf
3-Jan11:00Crude InventoriesNA-4.731M
3-Jan14:00Auto SalesNA5.7M
3-Jan14:00Truck SalesNA7.1M


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